Open access
Author
Date
2011-05Type
- Working Paper
ETH Bibliography
yes
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Abstract
This study presents a model that delivers more accurate forecasts of the revised rather initial estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate in Switzerland during the period of the recent financial crisis. The key explanation to our findings is that our model, capitalizing on the information contained in the Business Tendency Surveys, is able to predict future revisions of the initial estimates. Our findings imply that there seems to be a scope for improvement of how preliminary estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate are produced in Switzerland. Show more
Permanent link
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-006499473Publication status
publishedJournal / series
KOF Working PapersVolume
Publisher
KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH ZurichSubject
ECONOMETRICS AND ECONOMETRIC MODELS (OPERATIONS RESEARCH); GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT; BRUTTONATIONALEINKOMMEN; SCHWEIZ (MITTELEUROPA). SCHWEIZERISCHE EIDGENOSSENSCHAFT; SWITZERLAND (CENTRAL EUROPE). SWISS CONFEDERATION; ÖKONOMETRIE UND ÖKONOMETRISCHE MODELLE (OPERATIONS RESEARCH); WIRTSCHAFTSPROGNOSEN; GDP revisions; Mixed-frequency data; Forecasting; Factor model; ECONOMIC FORECASTSOrganisational unit
02525 - KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle / KOF Swiss Economic Institute
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ETH Bibliography
yes
Altmetrics