Changes and inter-model spread in 21st century scenarios for temperature and precipitation extremes as seen with the climate change index (CCI)

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Author(s) Scherrer, S. C., Baettig, M. B.
Publication Type Journal Items, Publication Status: Published
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Title Changes and inter-model spread in 21st century scenarios for temperature and precipitation extremes as seen with the climate change index (CCI)
Author(s) Scherrer, S. C.
Baettig, M. B.
Journal or Series Title Environmental research letters
Volume Number 3
Issue Number 3
Start Page 034005-1
End Page 034005-8
ISSN 1748-9326
1748-9318
Publisher Institute of Physics
Publication Place Bristol
Publication Date 2008-00-00
Abstract The amplitude and inter-model spread (IMS) of late 21st century changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in 21 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 3 models are analyzed using the recently introduced climate change index (CCI) and its components. Strong changes in extremes are found which are similar to those found using older data. Large IMS is found mostly in regions where the multi-model mean CCI values are large (tropics land, polar regions) or small (El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) region, North Atlantic Ocean). The two regions with large IMS in the tropics (ENSO region, Amazon basin) are mainly related to different model changes in precipitation extremes. In the polar regions the large IMS is linked to the IMS in both temperature and precipitation changes. Although the multi-model mean CCI values are average and the IMS is smallest in the subtropics, considerable change but also IMS is found as regards the changes of extremely dry events in this region. In this and other cases, a detailed analysis of the CCI components is important for getting a more complete picture of the changes and IMS of extreme temperature and precipitation events.
DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/3/3/034005
Additional Notes Received 5 February 2008. accepted for publication 24 July 2008. Published 7 August 2008
Document Type Article
Publication Status Published
Language English
Assigned Organisational Unit(s) 03731
Organisational Unit(s)
NEBIS System Number 005253059
Source Database ID PP-47942
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@article{Schrrr2008,
  author = "Scherrer, S. C. and Baettig, M. B.",
  title = "{C}hanges and inter-model spread in 21st century scenarios for temperature and precipitation extremes as seen with the climate change index ({C}{C}{I})",
  journal = "Environmental research letters",
  year = 2008,
  volume = "3",
  number = "3",
  pages = "034005-1--034005-8",
}


E-Citations record created: Fri, 02 Apr 2010, 02:55:30 CET